Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 52.49%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 20.57%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.15%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 0-1 (8.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aris Thessaloniki in this match.