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Greek Superleague | Gameweek 20
Jan 30, 2021 at 3.15pm UK
Stadio Theodoros Kolokotronis
A

Asteras
2 - 1
Aris

Regis (66'), Riera (70')
Bellocq (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Manos (28')
Ioannou (40'), Benalouane (65'), Jeggo (68')
Coverage of the Greek Superleague clash between Asteras Tripolis and Aris Thessaloniki.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Asteras Tripolis win with a probability of 34.65%. A win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 31.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Asteras Tripolis win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.81%) and 2-1 (6.71%). The likeliest Aris Thessaloniki win was 0-1 (13.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Asteras Tripolis would win this match.

Result
Asteras TripolisDrawAris Thessaloniki
34.65%31.07%34.28%
Both teams to score 39.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
31.69%68.3%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.86%86.13%
Asteras Tripolis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.91%37.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.12%73.88%
Aris Thessaloniki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.64%37.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.86%74.14%
Score Analysis
    Asteras Tripolis 34.65%
    Aris Thessaloniki 34.27%
    Draw 31.07%
Asteras TripolisDrawAris Thessaloniki
1-0 @ 13.74%
2-0 @ 6.81%
2-1 @ 6.71%
3-0 @ 2.25%
3-1 @ 2.22%
3-2 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 34.65%
0-0 @ 13.85%
1-1 @ 13.53%
2-2 @ 3.3%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 31.07%
0-1 @ 13.64%
0-2 @ 6.72%
1-2 @ 6.66%
0-3 @ 2.21%
1-3 @ 2.19%
2-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 34.27%

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