Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 36.57%. A win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.43%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Asteras Tripolis win was 1-0 (12.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
