SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a OFI Crete win with a probability of 37.89%. A win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a OFI Crete win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.74%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Aris Thessaloniki win was 0-1 (11.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that OFI Crete would win this match.
| Result | ||
| OFI Crete | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
37.89% ( -0.37) | 28.9% ( 0.01) | 33.21% ( 0.36) |
| Both teams to score 44.97% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.37% ( 0.04) | 61.63% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.54% ( 0.03) | 81.46% ( -0.02) |
| OFI Crete Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.61% ( -0.21) | 31.39% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.24% ( -0.24) | 67.76% ( 0.24) |
| Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.54% ( 0.28) | 34.46% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.82% ( 0.29) | 71.17% ( -0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| OFI Crete | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
| 1-0 @ 12.53% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.26% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 2.99% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0)Other @ 2.97% Total : 37.88% | 1-1 @ 13.35% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.81% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.89% | 0-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.11% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.27% Total : 33.21% |
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