SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aris Thessaloniki | Draw | AEK Athens |
32.29% ( -0.65) | 25.86% ( 0.2) | 41.85% ( 0.44) |
| Both teams to score 53.9% ( -0.89) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.75% ( -1.06) | 50.24% ( 1.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.8% ( -0.94) | 72.19% ( 0.94) |
| Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.73% ( -0.94) | 29.26% ( 0.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.77% ( -1.17) | 65.22% ( 1.16) |
| AEK Athens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.19% ( -0.25) | 23.8% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.03% ( -0.35) | 57.97% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aris Thessaloniki | Draw | AEK Athens |
| 1-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.51% Total : 32.29% | 1-1 @ 12.28% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.29)2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.85% | 0-1 @ 10% ( 0.35) 1-2 @ 8.82% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.18% ( 0.2)1-3 @ 4.22% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.94% Total : 41.85% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
