SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 33.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Panathinaikos win was 0-1 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aris Thessaloniki would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aris Thessaloniki | Draw | Panathinaikos |
39.56% ( 0.14) | 27.41% ( 0.03) | 33.03% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 49.23% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.69% ( -0.13) | 56.31% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.66% ( -0.1) | 77.34% ( 0.1) |
| Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.21% ( 0.02) | 27.79% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.62% ( 0.02) | 63.38% ( -0.02) |
| Panathinaikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.17% ( -0.17) | 31.83% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.74% ( -0.2) | 68.27% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aris Thessaloniki | Draw | Panathinaikos |
| 1-0 @ 11.32% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.54% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.89% Total : 39.56% | 1-1 @ 12.96% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.41% | 0-1 @ 10.12% 1-2 @ 7.42% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.82% Total : 33.02% |
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