Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 40.77%. A win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Aris Thessaloniki	Draw	Panathinaikos
31.11% ( 4.06)	28.12% ( 0.61)	40.77% ( -4.68)

Both teams to score 46.62% (

0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.67% (

-0.56)

59.32% (

0.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.28% (

-0.44)

79.72% (

0.43)

Aris Thessaloniki Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.25% (

2.88)

34.74% (

-2.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.52% (

2.93)

71.47% (

-2.93)

Panathinaikos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.45% (

-2.74)

28.55% (

2.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.66% (

-3.58)

64.34% (

3.57)

Score Analysis

Aris Thessaloniki 31.1%

Panathinaikos 40.77%

Draw 28.11%

Aris Thessaloniki	Draw	Panathinaikos
1-0 @ 10.48% ( 0.99) 2-1 @ 6.95% ( 0.67) 2-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.9) 3-1 @ 2.45% ( 0.4) 3-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.44) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.15) Other @ 2.19% Total : 31.1%	1-1 @ 13.14% ( 0.29) 0-0 @ 9.92% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.11%	0-1 @ 12.43% ( -0.72) 1-2 @ 8.24% ( -0.47) 0-2 @ 7.79% ( -1.12) 1-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.49) 0-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.77) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.25) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.34) Other @ 1.69% Total : 40.77%