Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 45.72%. A win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 28.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Asteras Tripolis win was 1-0 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
