SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 58.06%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Atromitos had a probability of 18.69%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.95%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for an Atromitos win it was 1-0 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atromitos | Draw | AEK Athens |
18.69% ( -0.04) | 23.25% ( -0) | 58.06% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 48.82% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.51% ( -0.05) | 50.49% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.58% ( -0.04) | 72.42% ( 0.04) |
| Atromitos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.91% ( -0.07) | 41.1% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.36% ( -0.06) | 77.64% ( 0.06) |
| AEK Athens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.88% ( -0) | 17.12% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.66% ( -0.01) | 47.34% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atromitos | Draw | AEK Athens |
| 1-0 @ 6.26% 2-1 @ 4.91% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)Other @ 2% Total : 18.69% | 1-1 @ 11.04% 0-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.83% Total : 23.24% | 0-1 @ 12.41% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 10.95% ( 0.02)1-2 @ 9.74% ( -0)0-3 @ 6.45% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.73% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.84% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.53% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0)0-5 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 2.71% Total : 58.05% |
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