SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 67.1%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 11.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.62%) and 3-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 0-1 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panathinaikos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Panathinaikos | Draw | Asteras Tripolis |
67.1% ( 0.01) | 21.33% ( 0.04) | 11.56% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 38.41% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.43% ( -0.23) | 55.57% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.26% ( -0.19) | 76.74% ( 0.19) |
| Panathinaikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.19% ( -0.07) | 15.81% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.03% ( -0.14) | 44.97% ( 0.14) |
| Asteras Tripolis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.62% ( -0.23) | 54.38% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.5% ( -0.14) | 87.51% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Panathinaikos | Draw | Asteras Tripolis |
| 1-0 @ 15.85% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 14.62% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 8.99% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.48% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.44% Total : 67.09% | 1-1 @ 9.66% ( -0) 0-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.36% Total : 21.33% | 0-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.79% Total : 11.56% |
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