SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 39.83%. A win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 31.76% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Asteras Tripolis win was 1-0 (10.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Asteras Tripolis | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
31.76% ( -0.33) | 28.4% ( 0.1) | 39.83% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 46.03% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.83% ( -0.44) | 60.16% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.63% ( -0.34) | 80.36% ( 0.33) |
| Asteras Tripolis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.28% ( -0.47) | 34.71% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.55% ( -0.5) | 71.44% ( 0.5) |
| Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.5% ( -0.09) | 29.5% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.49% ( -0.11) | 65.51% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Asteras Tripolis | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
| 1-0 @ 10.83% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 5.73% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.2% Total : 31.76% | 1-1 @ 13.22% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.39% | 0-1 @ 12.5% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 8.07% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.63% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.54% Total : 39.83% |
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