SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atromitos win with a probability of 40.79%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 29.49%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atromitos win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.24%) and 2-1 (7.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.35%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 0-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atromitos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atromitos | Draw | Asteras Tripolis |
40.79% ( -0.46) | 29.72% ( -0.27) | 29.49% ( 0.73) |
| Both teams to score 41.81% ( 0.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.01% ( 1.02) | 64.99% ( -1.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.11% ( 0.7) | 83.88% ( -0.71) |
| Atromitos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.64% ( 0.25) | 31.36% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.28% ( 0.29) | 67.72% ( -0.29) |
| Asteras Tripolis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.9% ( 1.18) | 39.09% ( -1.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.19% ( 1.09) | 75.81% ( -1.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atromitos | Draw | Asteras Tripolis |
| 1-0 @ 14.21% ( -0.45) 2-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.2)2-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 2.99% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.08% Total : 40.78% | 1-1 @ 13.35% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 12.25% ( -0.47)2-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.14)Other @ 0.47% Total : 29.71% | 0-1 @ 11.51% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.21)0-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.08)Other @ 1.51% Total : 29.49% |
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