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Greek Superleague | Gameweek 17
Jan 7, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stadio Georgios Karaiskaki
AA

Olympiacos
1 - 2
AEK Athens

Masouras (44')
Retsos (55'), Podence (57'), Fortounis (59')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Garcia (32'), Zuber (38')
Zuber (70'), Gacinovic (78'), Jonsson (89')
Coverage of the Greek Superleague clash between Olympiacos and AEK Athens.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lamia 1-0 Olympiacos
Wednesday, January 3 at 3pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: AEK Athens 3-0 Volos
Wednesday, January 3 at 5pm in Greek Superleague

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 51.67%. A win for AEK Athens had a probability of 25.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest AEK Athens win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
OlympiacosDrawAEK Athens
51.67% (0.625 0.63) 23.09% (-0.198 -0.2) 25.24% (-0.428 -0.43)
Both teams to score 58.29% (0.239 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.72% (0.516 0.52)42.28% (-0.51499999999999 -0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.32% (0.514 0.51)64.68% (-0.515 -0.52)
Olympiacos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.56% (0.41499999999999 0.41)16.43% (-0.416 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.89% (0.745 0.75)46.11% (-0.745 -0.74)
AEK Athens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.76% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)30.24% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.59% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)66.41% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Olympiacos 51.67%
    AEK Athens 25.24%
    Draw 23.09%
OlympiacosDrawAEK Athens
2-1 @ 9.69% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.98% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-0 @ 8.1% (0.039 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.83% (0.1 0.1)
3-0 @ 4.88% (0.091 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.49% (0.053 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.63% (0.081 0.08)
4-0 @ 2.2% (0.071 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.58% (0.046 0.05)
5-1 @ 0.95% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 51.67%
1-1 @ 10.73% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.8% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.97% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.39% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.09%
1-2 @ 6.42% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-1 @ 5.94% (-0.148 -0.15)
0-2 @ 3.55% (-0.095 -0.1)
1-3 @ 2.56% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.42% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 25.24%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Lamia 1-0 Olympiacos
Wednesday, January 3 at 3pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Atromitos 0-0 Olympiacos
Thursday, December 21 at 6.30pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Panserraikos 0-1 Olympiacos
Monday, December 18 at 4pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Olympiacos 5-2 Backa Topola
Thursday, December 14 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Volos 2-2 Olympiacos
Sunday, December 3 at 2.30pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Freiburg 5-0 Olympiacos
Thursday, November 30 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: AEK Athens 3-0 Volos
Wednesday, January 3 at 5pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Panserraikos 2-2 AEK Athens
Thursday, December 21 at 3pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Panetolikos 2-2 AEK Athens
Monday, December 18 at 3pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Ajax 3-1 AEK Athens
Thursday, December 14 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: AEK Athens 1-0 Aris
Monday, December 4 at 7pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: AEK Athens 0-1 Brighton
Thursday, November 30 at 5.45pm in Europa League


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