SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 57.35%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Atromitos had a probability of 19.78%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.22%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for an Atromitos win it was 1-0 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for AEK Athens in this match.
| Result | ||
| Atromitos | Draw | AEK Athens |
19.78% ( 0.71) | 22.87% ( 0.68) | 57.35% ( -1.39) |
| Both teams to score 51.79% ( -0.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.54% ( -1.9) | 47.46% ( 1.9) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.33% ( -1.78) | 69.67% ( 1.78) |
| Atromitos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.87% ( -0.33) | 38.13% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.11% ( -0.32) | 74.89% ( 0.33) |
| AEK Athens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.71% ( -1.12) | 16.29% ( 1.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.14% ( -2.07) | 45.86% ( 2.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atromitos | Draw | AEK Athens |
| 1-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.41) 2-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.52% Total : 19.78% | 1-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.34) 0-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.48)2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.86% | 0-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.46) 0-2 @ 10.22% ( 0.03)1-2 @ 9.86% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 6.18% ( -0.22)1-3 @ 5.96% ( -0.27)2-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.16)0-4 @ 2.81% ( -0.22)1-4 @ 2.71% ( -0.23)2-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.13)0-5 @ 1.02% ( -0.12)1-5 @ 0.98% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.16% Total : 57.34% |
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