SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 66.61%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 11.88%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.46%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 0-1 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aris Thessaloniki would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aris Thessaloniki | Draw | Asteras Tripolis |
66.61% ( -0.4) | 21.52% ( 0.35) | 11.88% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 38.79% ( -0.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.42% ( -1.14) | 55.58% ( 1.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.25% ( -0.94) | 76.75% ( 0.95) |
| Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.02% ( -0.51) | 15.98% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.72% ( -0.95) | 45.28% ( 0.96) |
| Asteras Tripolis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.17% ( -0.61) | 53.83% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.83% ( -0.38) | 87.17% ( 0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aris Thessaloniki | Draw | Asteras Tripolis |
| 1-0 @ 15.77% ( 0.42) 2-0 @ 14.46% ( 0.13)2-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 8.84% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 5.48% ( -0.15)4-0 @ 4.05% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.08)5-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.42% Total : 66.6% | 1-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.38)2-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.38% Total : 21.52% | 0-1 @ 5.33% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.88% Total : 11.88% |
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