SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Asteras Tripolis win with a probability of 52.34%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Ionikos had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Asteras Tripolis win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Ionikos win it was 0-1 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Asteras Tripolis in this match.
| Result | ||
| Asteras Tripolis | Draw | Ionikos |
52.34% ( 0.11) | 26.87% ( -0.05) | 20.8% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 42.11% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.96% ( 0.1) | 61.04% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.97% ( 0.07) | 81.03% ( -0.07) |
| Asteras Tripolis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.43% ( 0.09) | 23.57% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.36% ( 0.13) | 57.64% ( -0.13) |
| Ionikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.1% ( -0.01) | 44.9% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.15% ( -0.01) | 80.85% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Asteras Tripolis | Draw | Ionikos |
| 1-0 @ 15.29% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.05% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.26% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.39% Total : 52.34% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.58% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 3.54% ( 0)Other @ 0.49% Total : 26.85% | 0-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.31% ( -0)2-3 @ 0.95% ( 0)0-3 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 0.86% Total : 20.8% |
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