SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 63.33%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 14.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.12%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Olympiacos | Draw | Asteras Tripolis |
63.33% ( -0.08) | 22.39% ( 0.22) | 14.28% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 42.5% ( -0.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.85% ( -1.03) | 54.15% ( 1.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.43% ( -0.87) | 75.57% ( 0.87) |
| Olympiacos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.41% ( -0.38) | 16.59% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.61% ( -0.7) | 46.39% ( 0.7) |
| Asteras Tripolis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.95% ( -0.82) | 49.05% ( 0.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.01% ( -0.59) | 83.99% ( 0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Olympiacos | Draw | Asteras Tripolis |
| 1-0 @ 14.61% ( 0.39) 2-0 @ 13.12% ( 0.18)2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.6% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 3.53% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2% ( -0.09)5-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.55% Total : 63.31% | 1-1 @ 10.41% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.32)2-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.51% Total : 22.39% | 0-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.71% Total : 14.28% |
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