Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 49.3%. A win for Olympiacos had a probability of 25.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Olympiacos win was 0-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
