Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 74.39%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 8.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.05%) and 3-0 (10.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.96%), while for an Aris Thessaloniki win it was 0-1 (3.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.
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