SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 48.59%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 25.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for an Aris Thessaloniki win it was 1-0 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aris Thessaloniki | Draw | Olympiacos |
25.58% ( 0) | 25.83% ( 0) | 48.59% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 49.88% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.47% ( -0.01) | 53.52% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.96% ( -0) | 75.04% ( 0) |
| Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.99% ( -0) | 36% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.21% | 72.78% |
| Olympiacos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.95% ( -0.01) | 22.05% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.62% ( -0.01) | 55.38% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aris Thessaloniki | Draw | Olympiacos |
| 1-0 @ 8.11% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.26% 2-0 @ 4.14% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.13% 3-2 @ 1.61% 3-0 @ 1.41% Other @ 1.92% Total : 25.58% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.94% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0)Other @ 0.9% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 12% 1-2 @ 9.27% ( -0)0-2 @ 9.07% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.67% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.57% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.77% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.73% 2-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.21% Total : 48.58% |
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