SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 63.17%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 14.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.47%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 0-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Olympiacos | Draw | Asteras Tripolis |
63.17% ( -0.09) | 22.81% ( 0.04) | 14.02% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 40.81% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.89% ( -0.05) | 56.11% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.82% ( -0.04) | 77.18% ( 0.04) |
| Olympiacos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.66% ( -0.05) | 17.33% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.28% ( -0.09) | 47.71% ( 0.09) |
| Asteras Tripolis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.36% ( 0.04) | 50.63% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.91% ( 0.03) | 85.09% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Olympiacos | Draw | Asteras Tripolis |
| 1-0 @ 15.38% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 13.47% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.36% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.82% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.08% Total : 63.16% | 1-1 @ 10.46% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.78% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.12% ( 0)Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.8% | 0-1 @ 5.97% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.45% Total : 14.02% |
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