SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 67.68%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 12.37%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.05%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 0-1 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AEK Athens | Draw | Asteras Tripolis |
67.68% ( -0.51) | 19.94% ( 0.35) | 12.37% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 44.55% ( -0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.51% ( -1.07) | 48.49% ( 1.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.39% ( -0.98) | 70.61% ( 0.98) |
| AEK Athens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.66% ( -0.47) | 13.34% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.78% ( -0.96) | 40.22% ( 0.96) |
| Asteras Tripolis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.41% ( -0.4) | 48.58% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.34% ( -0.29) | 83.66% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| AEK Athens | Draw | Asteras Tripolis |
| 2-0 @ 13.15% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 13.05% ( 0.34)2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 8.83% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.59% Total : 67.68% | 1-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.28)2-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.61% Total : 19.94% | 0-1 @ 4.68% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.6% Total : 12.37% |
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