SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 36.96%. A win for PAOK had a probability of 36.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest PAOK win was 1-0 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PAOK | Draw | Olympiacos |
36.77% ( -0.06) | 26.27% ( -0.01) | 36.96% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 53.32% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.66% ( 0.05) | 51.34% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.84% ( 0.05) | 73.16% ( -0.05) |
| PAOK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.96% ( -0.01) | 27.03% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.6% ( -0.01) | 62.4% ( 0.01) |
| Olympiacos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.07% ( 0.07) | 26.92% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.75% ( 0.09) | 62.25% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| PAOK | Draw | Olympiacos |
| 1-0 @ 9.52% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.56% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.72% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 3.07% Total : 36.77% | 1-1 @ 12.49% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.28% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 9.55% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.2% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.59% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.1% Total : 36.96% |
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