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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 50.15%. A win for Olympiacos had a probability of 25.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Olympiacos win was 0-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AEK Athens | Draw | Olympiacos |
50.15% ( 0.13) | 24.66% ( -0.03) | 25.18% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 53.06% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.83% ( 0.06) | 49.17% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.76% ( 0.06) | 71.24% ( -0.06) |
| AEK Athens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.38% ( 0.08) | 19.62% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.42% ( 0.13) | 51.58% ( -0.13) |
| Olympiacos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.01% ( -0.05) | 33.98% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.34% ( -0.05) | 70.66% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| AEK Athens | Draw | Olympiacos |
| 1-0 @ 10.85% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 2.93% Total : 50.14% | 1-1 @ 11.72% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.66% | 0-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.25% Total : 25.18% |
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