Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 38.52%. A win for PAOK had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest PAOK win was 1-0 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for AEK Athens in this match.
