Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 43.66%. A win for PAOK had a probability of 29.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest PAOK win was 1-0 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
PAOK	Draw	AEK Athens
29.25% ( 0.42)	27.09% ( 0.19)	43.66% ( -0.61)

Both teams to score 48.75% (

-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.75% (

-0.52)

56.25% (

0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.71% (

-0.42)

77.29% (

0.42)

PAOK Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.49% (

0.05)

34.51% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.78% (

0.05)

71.22% (

-0.05)

AEK Athens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.43% (

-0.54)

25.57% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.56% (

-0.74)

60.44% (

0.74)

Score Analysis

PAOK 29.25%

AEK Athens 43.66%

Draw 27.09%

PAOK	Draw	AEK Athens
1-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 5% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 2.42% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.22% Total : 29.25%	1-1 @ 12.8% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.09%	0-1 @ 12.03% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.73% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 8.21% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 3.73% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.26% Total : 43.66%