SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 45.44%. A win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Panathinaikos win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rennes | Draw | Panathinaikos |
45.44% ( -0.09) | 25.32% ( 0.03) | 29.24% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 54.19% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.8% ( -0.08) | 49.2% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.74% ( -0.07) | 71.26% ( 0.07) |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.35% ( -0.08) | 21.65% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.23% ( -0.12) | 54.77% ( 0.12) |
| Panathinaikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.16% ( 0.01) | 30.84% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.88% ( 0.01) | 67.12% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rennes | Draw | Panathinaikos |
| 1-0 @ 10.21% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.82% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.69% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.4% Total : 45.44% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.31% | 0-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.07% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.77% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.99% Total : 29.24% |
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