Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 63.05%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Atromitos had a probability of 14.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.5%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for an Atromitos win it was 0-1 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panathinaikos would win this match.
0.36) 
-0.16) 
