Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panetolikos win with a probability of 40.23%. A win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panetolikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Aris Thessaloniki win was 0-1 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Panetolikos	Draw	Aris Thessaloniki
40.23% ( 0.22)	27.67% ( -0.08)	32.1% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 48.22% (

0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.54% (

0.26)

57.46% (

-0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.74% (

0.21)

78.26% (

-0.21)

Panetolikos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.04% (

0.25)

27.97% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.4% (

0.32)

63.6% (

-0.32)

Aris Thessaloniki Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.94% (

0.03)

33.06% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.35% (

0.04)

69.65% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Panetolikos 40.22%

Aris Thessaloniki 32.09%

Draw 27.66%

Panetolikos	Draw	Aris Thessaloniki
1-0 @ 11.77% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.83% Total : 40.22%	1-1 @ 13.03% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.24% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.66%	0-1 @ 10.23% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 7.22% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.66% 0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.54% Total : 32.09%