SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 59.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 18.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Panathinaikos win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PAOK | Draw | Panathinaikos |
59.32% ( 0.28) | 22.12% ( -0.06) | 18.57% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 52.11% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.01% ( -0.1) | 45.99% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.71% ( -0.09) | 68.29% ( 0.09) |
| PAOK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.87% ( 0.06) | 15.13% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.3% ( 0.11) | 43.7% ( -0.11) |
| Panathinaikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.4% ( -0.31) | 38.6% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.66% ( -0.29) | 75.34% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| PAOK | Draw | Panathinaikos |
| 1-0 @ 11.02% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 10.41% ( 0.09)2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 6.24% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.47% Total : 59.3% | 1-1 @ 10.49% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.11% | 0-1 @ 5.56% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.28% Total : 18.57% |
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