SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 58.83%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for PAS Giannina had a probability of 17.56%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.7%) and 1-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a PAS Giannina win it was 1-0 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for AEK Athens in this match.
| Result | ||
| PAS Giannina | Draw | AEK Athens |
17.56% ( 0.24) | 23.62% ( 0.18) | 58.83% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 45.78% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.5% ( -0.35) | 53.5% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.98% ( -0.3) | 75.02% ( 0.3) |
| PAS Giannina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.79% ( 0.09) | 44.21% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.7% ( 0.07) | 80.29% ( -0.07) |
| AEK Athens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.06% ( -0.28) | 17.94% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.24% ( -0.48) | 48.76% ( 0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| PAS Giannina | Draw | AEK Athens |
| 1-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 1.61% Total : 17.56% | 1-1 @ 11.12% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 3.9% ( 0)Other @ 0.66% Total : 23.61% | 0-1 @ 13.62% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 11.7% ( -0.05)1-2 @ 9.56% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 6.71% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 5.47% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 2.88% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 2.35% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 0.99% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.34% Total : 58.81% |
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