Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 62.73%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Debrecen had a probability of 16.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.08%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for a Debrecen win it was 1-0 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 5-4 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
Result | ||
Debrecen | Draw | Ferencvaros |
16.75% ( 1.32) | 20.52% ( 0.51) | 62.73% ( -1.82) |
Both teams to score 53.78% ( 1.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.02% ( 0.21) | 41.98% ( -0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.62% ( 0.21) | 64.39% ( -0.2) |
Debrecen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.67% ( 1.79) | 38.33% ( -1.78) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.91% ( 1.67) | 75.09% ( -1.67) |
Ferencvaros Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.21% ( -0.45) | 12.79% ( 0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.9% ( -0.94) | 39.1% ( 0.95) |
Score Analysis |
Debrecen | Draw | Ferencvaros |
1-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 4.64% ( 0.32) 2-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.17) Other @ 2.16% Total : 16.75% | 1-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.25) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.52% | 0-2 @ 10.36% ( -0.47) 0-1 @ 10.08% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 9.94% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 7.11% ( -0.45) 1-3 @ 6.81% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 3.65% ( -0.3) 1-4 @ 3.5% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.11) 2-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.03) 0-5 @ 1.5% ( -0.15) 1-5 @ 1.44% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.37% Total : 62.71% |
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