SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fehervar win with a probability of 45.83%. A win for Debrecen had a probability of 30.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fehervar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Debrecen win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fehervar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fehervar | Draw | Debrecen |
45.83% ( 0.05) | 23.86% ( -0.01) | 30.31% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 59.75% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.81% ( 0.01) | 42.19% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.41% ( 0.01) | 64.59% ( -0.01) |
| Fehervar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.37% ( 0.02) | 18.63% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.06% ( 0.04) | 49.93% ( -0.04) |
| Debrecen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.43% ( -0.02) | 26.57% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.22% ( -0.03) | 61.78% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fehervar | Draw | Debrecen |
| 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.32% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.44% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.18% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0)Other @ 3.45% Total : 45.83% | 1-1 @ 11.02% 2-2 @ 6.14% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.95% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.86% | 1-2 @ 7.31% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.23% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.71% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 3.16% Total : 30.31% |
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