Ferencvaros have built plenty of European pedigree and credibility across recent seasons and they will have no fear when arriving in Florence, and we can envisage them pushing the hosts hard on Thursday.
However, Fiorentina have been in decent form this season and they will be determined to move onto four points from two matches after drawing their opening match in this competition, and we expect them to do so in narrow fashion.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 48.61%. A win for Ferencvaros had a probability of 27.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Ferencvaros win was 1-2 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
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