Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 49.13%. A win for Ferencvaros had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Ferencvaros win was 1-2 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Genk | Draw | Ferencvaros |
49.13% ( -0.07) | 23.2% ( 0.03) | 27.67% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 60.22% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.24% ( -0.11) | 40.75% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.86% ( -0.12) | 63.14% ( 0.12) |
Genk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.2% ( -0.07) | 16.79% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.24% ( -0.12) | 46.75% ( 0.12) |
Ferencvaros Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.37% ( -0.03) | 27.62% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.84% ( -0.04) | 63.16% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Genk | Draw | Ferencvaros |
2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.38% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.65% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.19% Total : 49.13% | 1-1 @ 10.64% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.19% | 1-2 @ 6.85% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.97% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.94% 2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.65% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.86% Total : 27.67% |
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