SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 58.38%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Cukaricki had a probability of 19.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.93%) and 0-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Cukaricki win it was 1-0 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ferencvaros would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cukaricki | Draw | Ferencvaros |
19.5% ( -0.05) | 22.11% ( -0.02) | 58.38% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 53.76% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.39% ( 0.01) | 44.6% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.03% ( 0.01) | 66.96% ( -0.02) |
| Cukaricki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.22% ( -0.04) | 36.77% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.43% ( -0.04) | 73.56% ( 0.03) |
| Ferencvaros Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.03% ( 0.02) | 14.96% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.61% ( 0.05) | 43.39% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cukaricki | Draw | Ferencvaros |
| 1-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 2.75% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.66% ( -0)3-0 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 1.69% Total : 19.5% | 1-1 @ 10.45% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.5% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.1% | 0-1 @ 10.45% 1-2 @ 9.93% ( 0)0-2 @ 9.93% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 6.29% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 6.29% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.15% 1-4 @ 2.99% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.99% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.49% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.14% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 2.62% Total : 58.38% |
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