Despite the disappointing defeat against Scotland last time out, Cyprus are showing signs of progression under the helm of Ketsbaia, and it would not be a surprise if the manager oversees a positive result on Tuesday, given the recent victory against Israel.
Armenia are the favourites on paper, but they have been in poor form of late, still without a win since early June, and so we expect the two nations to play out a draw.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Armenia win with a probability of 42.76%. A win for Cyprus had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Armenia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Cyprus win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
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