Having already defeated Republic of Ireland in this group, Armenia will have every confidence that they can battle their way to a win in Dublin. That said, it would represent some turnaround after Saturday's defeat versus Ukraine, and we feel that the home side should have enough quality to come through this contest with three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 50.45%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Armenia had a probability of 21.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%), while for an Armenia win it was 0-1 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Republic of Ireland would win this match.
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