SM
| Current League B1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Scotland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Republic of Ireland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Ukraine | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Armenia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League C1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Turkey | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Faroe Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Lithuania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 86.97%. A draw had a probability of 8.9% and a win for Armenia had a probability of 4.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 0-3 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.79%) and 0-4 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.19%), while for an Armenia win it was 2-1 (1.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Turkey would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Armenia | Draw | Turkey |
4.09% ( 0.01) | 8.94% ( -0.03) | 86.97% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 45.14% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.7% ( 0.26) | 25.3% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.7% ( 0.34) | 45.3% ( -0.34) |
| Armenia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.93% ( 0.26) | 53.07% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.31% ( 0.16) | 86.69% ( -0.17) |
| Turkey Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.19% ( 0.04) | 3.81% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 83.74% ( 0.15) | 16.26% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Armenia | Draw | Turkey |
| 2-1 @ 1.33% ( 0) 1-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.48% Total : 4.09% | 1-1 @ 4.19% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.57% Total : 8.94% | 0-3 @ 11.75% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 10.79% ( -0.1)0-4 @ 9.6% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 7.45% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 6.84% ( -0.01)0-1 @ 6.61% ( -0.09)0-5 @ 6.28% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 6.09% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 3.98% ( 0.04)0-6 @ 3.42% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.02)1-6 @ 2.17% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.93% ( 0.03)0-7 @ 1.6% ( 0.01)2-5 @ 1.26% ( 0.02)1-7 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.85% Total : 86.96% |
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