Both teams will be wounded due to what happened last week, and it is difficult to predict exactly what will occur in this match. Italy have released six players from their camp, but the Blues still have plenty of quality in their squad, and we are expecting the two sides to play out a low-scoring draw on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 53.27%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Turkey had a probability of 19.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.37%) and 1-2 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Turkey win it was 1-0 (8.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Italy would win this match.

Result
Turkey	Draw	Italy
19.98%	26.75%	53.27%

Both teams to score 41.37%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.56%

61.44%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.68%

81.32%

Turkey Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.96%

46.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.25%

81.75%

Italy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.67%

23.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.71%

57.29%

Score Analysis

Turkey 19.98%

Italy 53.26%

Draw 26.74%

Turkey	Draw	Italy
1-0 @ 8.33% 2-1 @ 4.7% 2-0 @ 3.23% 3-1 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.5% Total : 19.98%	1-1 @ 12.12% 0-0 @ 10.74% 2-2 @ 3.42% Other @ 0.46% Total : 26.74%	0-1 @ 15.63% 0-2 @ 11.37% 1-2 @ 8.82% 0-3 @ 5.52% 1-3 @ 4.28% 0-4 @ 2.01% 2-3 @ 1.66% 1-4 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.41% Total : 53.26%