SM
| Current League A3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Italy | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Hungary | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Germany | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 4 | England | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| Current League A3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Italy | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Hungary | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Germany | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 4 | England | 2 | -1 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 45.7%. A win for Hungary had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Hungary win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Italy would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Italy | Draw | Hungary |
45.7% ( 0.03) | 25.95% ( -0.03) | 28.35% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 51.65% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.75% ( 0.11) | 52.25% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.04% ( 0.09) | 73.95% ( -0.09) |
| Italy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.18% ( 0.06) | 22.82% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.46% ( 0.09) | 56.54% ( -0.09) |
| Hungary Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.92% ( 0.05) | 33.08% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.32% ( 0.06) | 69.67% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Italy | Draw | Hungary |
| 1-0 @ 11.15% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.06% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.08% Total : 45.69% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.55% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.94% | 0-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.83% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.52% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.48% Total : 28.35% |
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