SM
| Current League A3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Italy | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Hungary | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Germany | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 4 | England | 2 | -1 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 47.38%. A win for Italy had a probability of 29.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a England win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Italy win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| England | Draw | Italy |
47.38% ( 0.02) | 23.37% ( -0.01) | 29.25% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 60.83% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.52% ( 0.02) | 40.47% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.14% ( 0.02) | 62.86% ( -0.02) |
| England Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.65% ( 0.01) | 17.35% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.27% ( 0.02) | 47.73% ( -0.02) |
| Italy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.59% ( 0) | 26.4% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.43% | 61.57% |
| Score Analysis |
| England | Draw | Italy |
| 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.02% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.03% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.47% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.1% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.64% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.39% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.8% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.59% ( 0)Other @ 3.98% Total : 47.38% | 1-1 @ 10.68% 2-2 @ 6.23% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.58% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.36% | 1-2 @ 7.11% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.1% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.06% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.77% 0-3 @ 1.8% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.28% Total : 29.25% |
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