SM
| Current League A3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Hungary | 4 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Germany | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Italy | 4 | -2 | 5 |
| 4 | England | 4 | -5 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for England had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest England win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Italy in this match.
| Result | ||
| Italy | Draw | England |
42.71% ( -0.04) | 26.19% ( -0.06) | 31.1% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 52.37% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.99% ( 0.28) | 52.01% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.25% ( 0.24) | 73.75% ( -0.24) |
| Italy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.85% ( 0.11) | 24.15% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.53% ( 0.15) | 58.47% ( -0.15) |
| England Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.04% ( 0.21) | 30.96% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.74% ( 0.24) | 67.26% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Italy | Draw | England |
| 1-0 @ 10.62% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.55% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.19% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.27% ( 0)Other @ 2.71% Total : 42.71% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.18% | 0-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.14% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 3% Total : 31.1% |
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