SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezuela win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for Syria had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezuela win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Syria win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Venezuela | Draw | Syria |
40.05% ( 2.89) | 26.15% ( 1.3) | 33.8% ( -4.19) |
| Both teams to score 53.36% ( -4.92) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.87% ( -6.14) | 51.12% ( 6.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.03% ( -5.64) | 72.97% ( 5.64) |
| Venezuela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.87% ( -1.25) | 25.12% ( 1.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.17% ( -1.76) | 59.82% ( 1.76) |
| Syria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.27% ( -5.29) | 28.73% ( 5.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.44% ( -7.12) | 64.56% ( 7.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Venezuela | Draw | Syria |
| 1-0 @ 9.97% ( 1.96) 2-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.26)2-0 @ 6.89% ( 1.15)3-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.43)3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.42)4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.55% Total : 40.05% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( 0.81) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( 1.62)2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.69)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.37)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.15% | 0-1 @ 9% ( 0.88) 1-2 @ 7.76% ( -0.68)0-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.27)1-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.86)0-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.51)2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.7)1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.48)Other @ 2.64% Total : 33.8% |
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