SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahrain win with a probability of 54.04%. A win for Panama had a probability of 23.42% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahrain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Panama win was 1-2 (6.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bahrain | Draw | Panama |
54.04% ( 0.03) | 22.53% ( -0.01) | 23.42% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 58.12% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.44% ( 0.01) | 41.55% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.04% ( 0.01) | 63.95% ( -0.01) |
| Bahrain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.65% ( 0.01) | 15.35% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.88% ( 0.02) | 44.11% ( -0.03) |
| Panama Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.65% ( -0.02) | 31.34% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.29% ( -0.02) | 67.7% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bahrain | Draw | Panama |
| 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.02% 2-0 @ 8.45% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.12% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.28% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.55% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.87% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.47% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.66% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.08% ( 0)5-0 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.82% Total : 54.04% | 1-1 @ 10.46% 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.81% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.53% | 1-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.58% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.24% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.35% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 2.73% Total : 23.42% |
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