SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Bahrain had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.63%) and 0-2 (5.66%). The likeliest Bahrain win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bahrain | Draw | Canada |
34.96% ( -1.94) | 23.16% ( 0.15) | 41.88% ( 1.79) |
| Both teams to score 64.31% ( -0.95) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.97% ( -1.09) | 37.03% ( 1.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.78% ( -1.19) | 59.22% ( 1.19) |
| Bahrain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.6% ( -1.46) | 21.4% ( 1.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.6% ( -2.3) | 54.4% ( 2.3) |
| Canada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.82% ( 0.31) | 18.18% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.83% ( 0.53) | 49.17% ( -0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bahrain | Draw | Canada |
| 2-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.21) 1-0 @ 6% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 4.05% ( -0.3)3-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.22)3-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.2)4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.19)4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.15)4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.77% Total : 34.96% | 1-1 @ 10.22% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.11)0-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.2)3-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.36% Total : 23.15% | 1-2 @ 8.72% ( 0.25) 0-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.41)0-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.4)1-3 @ 4.95% ( 0.19)2-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.26)1-4 @ 2.11% ( 0.1)2-4 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.12)Other @ 3.78% Total : 41.88% |
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