SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bangladesh win with a probability of 74.76%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Afghanistan had a probability of 8.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bangladesh win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.17%) and 3-0 (10.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.87%), while for an Afghanistan win it was 0-1 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bangladesh | Draw | Afghanistan |
74.76% ( -1.28) | 16.83% ( 0.87) | 8.41% ( 0.41) |
| Both teams to score 40.16% ( -1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.76% ( -2.46) | 46.24% ( 2.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.47% ( -2.37) | 68.53% ( 2.36) |
| Bangladesh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.27% ( -0.97) | 10.73% ( 0.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.32% ( -2.2) | 34.68% ( 2.2) |
| Afghanistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 44.99% ( -0.62) | 55.01% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.11% ( -0.38) | 87.88% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bangladesh | Draw | Afghanistan |
| 2-0 @ 14.7% ( 0.33) 1-0 @ 13.17% ( 0.82)3-0 @ 10.94% ( -0.2)2-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.54% ( -0.25)4-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.38)4-1 @ 3.65% ( -0.3)5-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.29)3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.11)5-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.21)4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.11)6-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.16)Other @ 2.45% Total : 74.75% | 1-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.35) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.59)2-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.42% Total : 16.83% | 0-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.47% Total : 8.41% |
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