SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bangladesh win with a probability of 52.5%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Seychelles had a probability of 21.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bangladesh win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Seychelles win it was 0-1 (7.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bangladesh in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bangladesh | Draw | Seychelles |
52.5% ( 0.15) | 25.79% ( -0) | 21.71% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 45.97% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.4% ( -0.12) | 56.6% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.43% ( -0.1) | 77.57% ( 0.09) |
| Bangladesh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.37% ( 0.01) | 21.63% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.26% ( 0.02) | 54.74% ( -0.02) |
| Seychelles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.65% ( -0.22) | 41.35% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.13% ( -0.19) | 77.87% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bangladesh | Draw | Seychelles |
| 1-0 @ 13.69% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 10.48% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.73% 3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0)Other @ 3.04% Total : 52.49% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.94% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.67% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.19% Total : 21.71% |
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