Bangladesh
1 - 1
Malawi

Data Analysis

Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Bangladesh and Malawi.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bangladesh

Last Game: Nepal 3-1 Bangladesh
Tuesday, September 27 at 12.45pm in International Friendlies

Malawi

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Malawi 1-1 Lesotho
Saturday, February 25 at 1pm in International Friendlies

Next Game: Egypt vs. Malawi
Friday, March 24 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	1	5
2	Guinea	3	0	4
3	Malawi	3	0	4
4	Zimbabwe	3	-1	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malawi win with a probability of 61.57%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Bangladesh had a probability of 14.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malawi win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.33%) and 1-2 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Bangladesh win it was 1-0 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
Bangladesh	Draw	Malawi
14.73%	23.7%	61.57%

Both teams to score 40.14%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.03%

57.97%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.33%

78.67%

Bangladesh Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.31%

50.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.87%

85.13%

Malawi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.4%

18.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.12%

49.87%

Score Analysis

Bangladesh 14.73%

Malawi 61.56%

Draw 23.69%

Bangladesh	Draw	Malawi
1-0 @ 6.4% 2-1 @ 3.66% 2-0 @ 2.18% Other @ 2.49% Total : 14.73%	1-1 @ 10.77% 0-0 @ 9.42% 2-2 @ 3.08% Other @ 0.42% Total : 23.69%	0-1 @ 15.85% 0-2 @ 13.33% 1-2 @ 9.06% 0-3 @ 7.48% 1-3 @ 5.08% 0-4 @ 3.15% 1-4 @ 2.14% 2-3 @ 1.73% 0-5 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.68% Total : 61.56%