SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bangladesh win with a probability of 41%. A win for Lebanon had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bangladesh win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Lebanon win was 0-1 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bangladesh | Draw | Lebanon |
41% ( 0) | 28.14% ( 0.01) | 30.86% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 46.46% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.51% ( -0.02) | 59.48% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.16% ( -0.02) | 79.84% ( 0.02) |
| Bangladesh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.5% ( -0.01) | 28.5% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.72% ( -0.01) | 64.28% ( 0.01) |
| Lebanon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.98% ( -0.02) | 35.02% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.24% ( -0.02) | 71.76% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bangladesh | Draw | Lebanon |
| 1-0 @ 12.52% 2-1 @ 8.25% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.86% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.45% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.29% 3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.69% Total : 40.99% | 1-1 @ 13.14% 0-0 @ 9.98% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.33% ( -0)Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.14% | 0-1 @ 10.47% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.9% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.5% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.41% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0)Other @ 2.14% Total : 30.85% |
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