SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bangladesh win with a probability of 41%. A win for Lebanon had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bangladesh win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Lebanon win was 0-1 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bangladesh | Draw | Lebanon |
41% ( 0) | 28.14% ( 0.01) | 30.86% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 46.46% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.51% ( -0.02) | 59.48% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.16% ( -0.02) | 79.84% ( 0.02) |
| Bangladesh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.5% ( -0.01) | 28.5% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.72% ( -0.01) | 64.28% ( 0.01) |
| Lebanon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.98% ( -0.02) | 35.02% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.24% ( -0.02) | 71.76% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bangladesh | Draw | Lebanon |
| 1-0 @ 12.52% 2-1 @ 8.25% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.86% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.45% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.29% 3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.69% Total : 40.99% | 1-1 @ 13.14% 0-0 @ 9.98% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.33% ( -0)Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.14% | 0-1 @ 10.47% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.9% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.5% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.41% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0)Other @ 2.14% Total : 30.85% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 36 |
| 2 | Liverpool | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 32 | 14 | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Manchester CityMan City | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 36 | 16 | 20 | 30 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 20 | 13 | 29 |
| 5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 27 |
| 6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 32 | 14 | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 24 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 22 |
| 9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 19 |
| 11 | Brentford | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 19 |
| 12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 18 |
| 13 | Crystal Palace | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 16 |
| 14 | Fulham | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 15 |
| 15 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
| 16 | Bournemouth | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 13 |
| 17 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 9 |
| 18 | Everton | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 7 |
| 19 | Burnley | 15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 15 | 33 | -18 | 7 |
| 20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 39 | -28 | 5 |
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